Skip to main content

Kyaar Cyclone Analysis

Why Kyaar became one of the strongest cyclones in the Arabian Sea ?

Thanks to record breaking + Indian Ocean Dipole resulting in an above normal Sea Surface Temperature and also due to considerably less wind shear Kyaar was able to intensify rapidly as a Cat 4 tropical cyclone. However, Kyaar is expected to weaken as the wind shear is expected to increase in the coming days. 

KYAAR IS THE SECOND STRONGEST TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE ARABIAN SEA 

Gonu cyclone from 2007 maintaining the First position.

Kyaar's track ?
-------------------------------------------------

The track of Kyaar is doubtful as some models hinting on Pakistan landfall while some others on Oman landfall. However, Kyaar is expected to weaken and possibilities of it dissipating in the sea also exists. Even if Kyaar makes a landfall it is not expected to cause any major damage.

Sources : IMD • WUNDERGROUND
    


Labels:

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Future: Living with Nature

  Dear Friends,        We are witnessing a greater impact of some unforced Human errors with Nature, in which it gives back with added dividends like drought or rainfall. To me it starts with Humans, who censures green cover for their luxury, which leads to more land heating by the Sun & later it leads to swift evaporation of Water in Land. The normalized cycle of  relation between Land-Sun-Ocean-Moisture-Winds thus altered. As a civilization, we made things worse, but can be reversed with corrective actions. Just taking Our nation with a new vision, I like to list out some solutions which may give us the desired results.   1. The biggest problem India facing now is Mass Urbanization which leads to all sorts of pollution & depletion of  Natural resources all beyond limits.   2. Rural population more & more gets settled in Urbanized Colonies, thus ruins necessary balance in between Rural & Urban India....
Post a Comment
Read more

Post Monsoon Analysis by Santhakumar

North East Monsoon was not upto the mark for North Tamilnadu especially the State Capital, Chennai. With initial forecast being a Normal Quantum from the monsoon, the reality was different. Take a look at the following pictorial explanations by a Weather Blogger, Santhakumar.
Post a Comment
Read more

NEM ONSET 2020 : FORECAST

 Topic by : HariHaran (Rainman) Will This Year Ends With Bountiful North-East Monsoon? North East Monsoon has set over most of the parts of southern India with easterlies hitting the East Coast! This year is one of the most hyped when it comes to NEM rains. To understand the current weather conditions we have to looks for the favorable weather dynamics which we look for the upcoming NEM season. As per the the models by looking for MJO it will takes it’s path to Phase 6-7 for a while as MTC having a huge support of planetary waves alignment. But conditions looks favorable for he weakening of MJO progression over MTC - WPAC zones and it is expected to move AO for a while and begin it’s initial new set of MJO phase at Phase soon. By looking at the models, the chart provided seems to have some initial errors as well that we have to notice as well. As looking for the “Standing Wave” which is highly expected to weaken over MTC zones and it is expected to reverse it’s phase to WIO. This w...
Post a Comment
Read more