North East Monsoon began over South East India

The Northeast Monsoon has finally began after one of the most delayed withdrawal of Southwest Monsoon though a rapid one which is in progress. TN Coast along adjoining AP coastal line to get Easterly On and Off rains though the Quantum might be considerably less.

Models continue to hint a system over the bay of bengal making a possible Landfall over CAP-NAP coast around October 25th. Though its too early to decide its landfall location, the sytem is expected to skirt along NTN coast possibly giving rains to the same.

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NEM ONSET 2020 : FORECAST

Topic by : HariHaran (Rainman) Will This Year Ends With Bountiful North-East Monsoon? North East Monsoon has set over most of the parts of southern India with easterlies hitting the East Coast! This year is one of the most hyped when it comes to NEM rains. To understand the current weather conditions we have to looks for the favorable weather dynamics which we look for the upcoming NEM season. As per the the models by looking for MJO it will takes it’s path to Phase 6-7 for a while as MTC having a huge support of planetary waves alignment. But conditions looks favorable for he weakening of MJO progression over MTC - WPAC zones and it is expected to move AO for a while and begin it’s initial new set of MJO phase at Phase soon. By looking at the models, the chart provided seems to have some initial errors as well that we have to notice as well. As looking for the “Standing Wave” which is highly expected to weaken over MTC zones and it is expected to reverse it’s phase to WIO. This w...

All Eyes on October End System

The low in Bay of Bengal crossed chennai's latitude on 22nd October Early morning and gave widespread rains of moderate quantum. The low impacted South Andhra Pradesh and gave very heavy rains and it is now expected to skirt along NAP-Odisha. North Tamilnadu to see slight reduction in rainfall activity for the next couple of days. We had an awesome start to Northeast Monsoon with small but considerable increase in lake storage levels. Models hinting on a system during the end of this month and the path is favourable for North Tamilnadu as of now but it is too early to come into conclusion. We will get clearer picture as days goes on.

Post Monsoon Analysis by Santhakumar

North East Monsoon was not upto the mark for North Tamilnadu especially the State Capital, Chennai. With initial forecast being a Normal Quantum from the monsoon, the reality was different. Take a look at the following pictorial explanations by a Weather Blogger, Santhakumar.

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