Okay Weather

  Dear Friends,        We are witnessing a greater impact of some unforced Human errors with Nature, in which it gives back with added dividends like drought or rainfall. To me it starts with Humans, who censures green cover for their luxury, which leads to more land heating by the Sun & later it leads to swift evaporation of Water in Land. The normalized cycle of  relation between Land-Sun-Ocean-Moisture-Winds thus altered. As a civilization, we made things worse, but can be reversed with corrective actions. Just taking Our nation with a new vision, I like to list out some solutions which may give us the desired results.   1. The biggest problem India facing now is Mass Urbanization which leads to all sorts of pollution & depletion of  Natural resources all beyond limits.   2. Rural population more & more gets settled in Urbanized Colonies, thus ruins necessary balance in between Rural & Urban India....

Rains possible in KTC on New Year 2020 due to interaction of dipping strong mid level trough and incoming moist easterlies at lower levels  which will produce Thunderstorm. Rain chances are there in January first week. chennai also has chance to catch one or two spells. Courtesy : Jaswant Weatherman

North East Monsoon was not upto the mark for North Tamilnadu especially the State Capital, Chennai. With initial forecast being a Normal Quantum from the monsoon, the reality was different. Take a look at the following pictorial explanations by a Weather Blogger, Santhakumar.

NORMAL NORTH EAST MONSOON ( NEM 2019) AHEAD FOR ENTIRE TAMIL NADU INCLUDING NORTH TAMIL NADU ====================================== PLEASE READ THE FULL POST FOR BETTER UNDERSTANDING ====================================== After a lull November in most parts of TN , rains to pick up pace from tonight over entire coastal Tamil Nadu as strong easterly winds filled with moisture to hit us for a week with possible low or trough over southwest bay.... do not miss this exciting period of NEM as this is going to be most active phase ... ===================================== i have already mentioned in my previous post MJO to enter our basin in few days which is a boon for us... this two weeks we should watch out for a extraordinary rainfall over DELTA,RAMANADAPURAM , TUTICORIN,AND AREAS NEAR WESTERN GHATS (mostly above 350mm) .... few coastal region will see EXTREME rainfall accumulation between NOVEMBER 29 - DECEMBER 6 .... nothing to panic... so i am sure that SOUTH TN, WESTERN TN( KONGU BEL...

North East Monsoon has been disappointing for the most parts of tamilnadu so far with chennai receiving only 350 mm against an average of 850 mm. We have three systems in Bay of Bengal so far one being a low which went along the east coast with North Andhra Pradesh and Odisha taking its major share, The second one being the low which later developed into Cyclone Maha which gave a major part of Tamilnadu's NorthEast Monsoon rain quantum, and the third one being Cyclone Bulbul which fell a prey to Western disturbance. With a dull Monsoon so far, Models expect a system forming in bay of Bengal around November End due to Mjo visiting Indian ocean. Widespread rains to Tamilnadu and adjoining Andhra Pradesh is the outlook given by models so far while the location of the system is projected to be somewhere around Srilanka and Gulf of Mannar. While ECMWF Ensembles partly hinting towards system intensification after entering Arabian Sea. 

The remnants of Matmo which entered bay of Bengal from South China Sea has evolved into a Cyclone "BulBul". Rapid intensification was seen in the last 24 hours and the system is expected to make Landfall around Odisha/West Bengal surroundings. Rain chances for Coastal Tamilnadu continues to be very low for the next 7-8 days. However, Rains are expected from November 15th as easterlies will be back in bay of Bengal while the traces of " BulBul" disappear.