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Why Kyaar became one of the strongest cyclones in the Arabian Sea ? Thanks to record breaking + Indian Ocean Dipole resulting in an above normal Sea Surface Temperature and also due to considerably less wind shear Kyaar was able to intensify rapidly as a Cat 4 tropical cyclone. However, Kyaar is expected to weaken as the wind shear is expected to increase in the coming days.  KYAAR IS THE SECOND STRONGEST TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE ARABIAN SEA  Gonu cyclone from 2007 maintaining the First position. Kyaar's track ? ------------------------------------------------- The track of Kyaar is doubtful as some models hinting on Pakistan landfall while some others on Oman landfall. However, Kyaar is expected to weaken and possibilities of it dissipating in the sea also exists. Even if Kyaar makes a landfall it is not expected to cause any major damage. Sources : IMD • WUNDERGROUND     

A weak cyclonic circulation/weather disturbance persists over south east Bay of Bengal. It is expected to track westwards towards Srilanka as a possible Low pressure area in the next 24-48 hours. And in the subsequent 24-48 hours to track further westwards into Comorin sea/Gulf of mannar and become awell marked low. The present break in rains is expected to end early next week as the low might spread some showers over entire  coastal TN.  The cyclonic storm Kyarr ( named by Myanmar ) in the East Central  Arabian sea  is expected to track West North West towards Oman/ Yemen coast in the coming days. - CYCLOMANIAC

The low in Bay of Bengal crossed chennai's latitude on 22nd October Early morning and gave widespread rains of moderate quantum. The low impacted South Andhra Pradesh and gave very heavy rains and it is now expected to skirt along NAP-Odisha. North Tamilnadu to see slight reduction in rainfall activity for the next couple of days. We had  an awesome start to Northeast Monsoon with small but considerable increase in lake storage levels.  Models hinting on a system during the end of this month and the path is favourable for North Tamilnadu as of now but it is too early to come into conclusion. We will get clearer picture as days goes on.

Easterlies is doing wonders in NTN-SAP coastal districts. More than 10 cms of rainfall was recorded in various parts overnight. The easterlies is said to continue over the next couple of days. Kerala and adjoining coastal Karnataka districts to see widespread heavy rainfall due to the system forming in Arabian sea. Models continue to forecast a low in Bay of Bengal which later skirts along Coastal NTN-SAP giving widespread heavy rainfall. Models in tight consensus of the low coming close to NTN coast.

The Northeast Monsoon has finally began after one of the most delayed withdrawal of Southwest Monsoon though a rapid one which is in progress. TN Coast along adjoining AP coastal line to get Easterly On and Off rains though the Quantum might be considerably less.  Models continue to hint a system over the bay of bengal making a possible Landfall over CAP-NAP coast around October 25th. Though its too early to decide its landfall location, the sytem is expected to skirt along NTN coast possibly giving rains to the same.